miércoles, 30 de noviembre de 2011
martes, 29 de noviembre de 2011
Rasmussen: Romney 34%, Gingrich 24% en NH
Rasmussen:
En el anterior sondeo de Rasmussen en NH estaban: Romney 41%, Gingrich 8%.
What a difference a month makes in the race for the Republican nomination. In September, Rick Perry was leading in Iowa and running second in New Hampshire. In October, Herman Cain took the lead in Iowa and was running second in New Hampshire. Now, it’s Newt Gingrich’s turn.El resto del pelotón: Ron Paul 14%, Huntsman 11%, Cain 5%, Bachmann 2%, Perry 2%, Santorum 1%.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary voters in New Hampshire shows former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney on top at 34%, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 24%. This is the first survey of New Hampshire Primary voters conducted since the Manchester Union Leader endorsed Gingrich.
En el anterior sondeo de Rasmussen en NH estaban: Romney 41%, Gingrich 8%.
Rumor: Cain podría retirarse mañana
Según Larry Sinclair:
Sources who have inside access to Herman Cain have informed us that Cain will drop out of the GOP Presidential Primary Race by tomorrow afternoon.
Herman Cain está reconsiderando su campaña
National Review:
In a conference call this morning, Herman Cain told his senior staff that he is “reassessing” whether to remain in the race. He will make his final decision “over the next several days.”
National Review was on the call. It lasted five minutes.
“Obviously, you’re all aware of this recent firestorm that hit the news yesterday,” Cain began, his voice somber. “First thing I want to do is say to you what I have said publicly: I deny those charges, unequivocally. Secondly, I have known this lady for a number of years. And thirdly, I have been attempting to help her financially because she was out of work and destitute, desperate. So, thinking that she was a friend — and I have helped many friends — I now know that she wasn’t the friend that I thought she was. But it was a just a friendship relationship.”
“That being said, obviously, this is cause for reassessment,” he continued. “As you know, during the summer we had to make some reassessments based upon our financial situation. We were able to hang in there; we reassessed the situation and kept on going. We also did a reassessment after the Iowa straw poll and we made another reassessment after the Florida straw poll. When the previous two accusations, false accusations, came about, we made another assessment. The way we handled those was, we continued on with our schedule. We made an assessment about what was going to happen to our support. But our supporters, and even some folks that we didn’t have as supporters, they stood with us, and they showed it not only in terms of their verbal support, they showed it in terms of their dollars.”
“Now, with this latest one, we have to do an assessment as to whether or not this is going to create too much of a cloud, in some people’s minds, as to whether or not they would be able to support us going forth,” Cain said.
“Over the next several days, we are going to continue with the schedule as usual,” he said. “I’ve got a major speech tonight at Hillsdale College on national security and foreign policy, and I will deliver it with vim, vigor, and enthusiasm. And then tomorrow we’ve got some media appearances scheduled. So we’re going to continue until we complete our assessment over the next several days.”
“But if a decision is made, different than to plow ahead, you all will be the first to know,” he said. “So until that time, I want to continue to thank you all for your support, thank you for your prayers. It’s taken an emotional toll, but the people in the audience tonight will never know it.”
Romney hace triplete cubano-americano
El Gobernador Romney ha recibido hoy el apoyo de los tres políticos más representativos del exilio cubano-americano de Miami en las últimas dos décadas: los hermanos Diaz-Balart y la Congresista Ileana Ros Lehtinen.
El acto ha tenido lugar en la compañía Conchita Foods de Miami-Dade.
A poco más de un mes para que empiecen las votaciones, Romney sigue manteniendo un perfil bajo y extremadamente prudente, evitando al máximo la exposición pública. Florida es el único de los primeros estados en votar que tiene previsto visitar esta semana.
El acto ha tenido lugar en la compañía Conchita Foods de Miami-Dade.
A poco más de un mes para que empiecen las votaciones, Romney sigue manteniendo un perfil bajo y extremadamente prudente, evitando al máximo la exposición pública. Florida es el único de los primeros estados en votar que tiene previsto visitar esta semana.
Joe Arpaio oficializa su apoyo a Perry
The Daily Caller:
Confirming the weekend’s reporting, on Tuesday “America’s Toughest Sheriff,” Joe Arpaio, endorsed Texas Gov. Rick Perry for president at a diner in Amherst, New Hampshire.
“The federal government has failed on border crime and border enforcement, and no candidate for president has done more to secure the border than Governor Rick Perry,” Arpaio wrote in a statement. “I have been watching Governor Perry and Texas closely and know his border surge operations with state, local and federal law enforcement officials have helped shut down the illegal trafficking of weapons, drugs and people.”
While the federal government has failed, according to the Arizona sheriff, Perry is the guy who can right the wrongs on the border.
“I’m endorsing Rick Perry because we need a tough-on-crime president who will champion and fund full-time border security operations from Brownsville[, Texas] to San Diego,” he said. “Governor Perry has a superior border security record and plan to make our border and our nation safer.”
Por qué Christie gusta tanto a los republicanos
Por cosas como esta.
GOBERNADOR CHRISTIE: "Me cabreó mucho este fin de semana escuchar la interpretación de la administración sobre el fracaso del supercomité y que, 'el Presidente sabía que este estaba condenado al fracaso y que por eso no se involucró.' Bien, entonces, ¿para qué diablos te estamos pagando? 'Como está condenado al fracaso, ¿no me voy a involucrar?' ¿Qué has estado haciendo, exactamente?
Si quería volver a presentarse al Senado otra vez y ser sólo uno entre cien, estoy seguro de que podría haber sido reelegido una y otra vez en Illinois. Pero cuando eres Presidente, eres único en Washington."
GOBERNADOR CHRISTIE: "Me cabreó mucho este fin de semana escuchar la interpretación de la administración sobre el fracaso del supercomité y que, 'el Presidente sabía que este estaba condenado al fracaso y que por eso no se involucró.' Bien, entonces, ¿para qué diablos te estamos pagando? 'Como está condenado al fracaso, ¿no me voy a involucrar?' ¿Qué has estado haciendo, exactamente?
Si quería volver a presentarse al Senado otra vez y ser sólo uno entre cien, estoy seguro de que podría haber sido reelegido una y otra vez en Illinois. Pero cuando eres Presidente, eres único en Washington."
InsiderAdvantage: Gingrich se escapa en IA y SC, y se acerca a Romney en NH
Encuesta de InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research:
Newt Gingrich has taken a commanding lead in the South Carolina Republican primary, with more than twice the support of Mitt Romney or Herman Cain, according to a poll conducted Monday evening for The Augusta Chronicle.
Gingrich, a former congressman from Georgia, has 38 percent, followed by 15 percent for Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts. Cain, a Georgia native, had 13 percent.
No other candidate reached double digits in the telephone survey conducted Monday night among 519 registered voters who say they’re likely to vote in the state’s GOP primary. InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research conducted the poll, and it has a 4 percent margin of error.
“Gingrich has consolidated a substantial lead among those who consider themselves Republicans, which are the more long-time GOP voters,” said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery. “The independents who had supported Cain are moving to Gingrich as well.”
The pattern is repeating itself in other early voting states, as illustrated in other polls Towery’s organization conducted Monday night.
In Iowa, Gingrich leads with 28 percent, followed by U.S. Rep. Ron Paul’s 13 percent and Romney’s 12 percent.
In New Hampshire, Gingrich has 27 points to Romney’s 31, putting them in a tie once the margin of error is considered.
Llamamiento de Team Obama
El comité de reelección del Presidente ha lanzado su primer anuncio de tv de 30 segundos. En él, Obama invita a sus partidarios a unirse a su "movimiento" a través de un número de teléfono y una dirección web a la que dirigirse.
En realidad es sólo una primera prueba para sondear el estado de ánimo y la disponibilidad de sus seguidores.
En realidad es sólo una primera prueba para sondear el estado de ánimo y la disponibilidad de sus seguidores.
Cinco meses de cobertura televisiva de los candidatos
Smart Politics tiene los datos:
If Republican primary voters are to be accused of still searching for the "anti-Romney," the same can certainly be said of the broadcast media as they cover the various arcs of the presidential campaign.
For although the former Massachusetts governor has ranked consistently at or near the top of the national polls throughout his candidacy, on a week-to-week basis Romney usually lags behind one or more of his fellow 2012 White House hopefuls in terms of media coverage.
And this has been the case dating all the way back to June.
A Smart Politics week-by-week analysis of ABC, CBS, CNN, FOX, MSNBC, and NPR broadcast media transcripts finds that since late June, Mitt Romney has been mentioned in the most reports among the 2012 Republican candidates for just four of these 22 weeks.
Which is not to say Romney has been ignored.
In fact, the perennial GOP frontrunner has been mentioned in the most news reports overall during this five-month span at 3,355 - barely edging out Rick Perry (mentioned in 3,235 reports, even though he did not announce his candidacy until the seventh week under analysis).
However, Romney has been consistently overshadowed nearly every week by one of the "anti-Romney" candidates vying for co-frontrunner status.
Rick Perry has been mentioned in the most broadcast reports for eight weeks, with Michele Bachmann on top six times, followed by Herman Cain with four and Romney with four.
These numbers contrast sharply with the amount of attention Romney has consistently commanded during the GOP debates, during which he has frequently tallied many more minutes of speaking time over the other candidates.
Bachmann was mentioned in the most media reports during the first five weeks of her candidacy (June 26-July 2, July 3-9, July 10-16, July 24-30) - with her name brought up in 626 news reports during that span compared to just 388 reports for Romney.
The next closest candidate was former Minnesota Governor (and ex-candidate) Tim Pawlenty with 230.
Romney edged Bachmann during the week of July 31-August 6, with the Minnesota Congresswoman back on top for a sixth time during the week of her Iowa Straw Poll victory (August 7-13).
Rick Perry's emergence into the Republican race on the day of the Straw Poll put a quick damper on Bachmann's momentum in the polls and - at the same time - the media coverage of her campaign.
For each of the next seven weeks through October 1st, Perry would be brought up in the largest number of broadcast reports of any candidate in the GOP field - tallying 1,297 reports compared to 1,045 for Romney and 828 for Bachmann.
No other candidate reached 500.
As the media transitioned its focus from Perry to the surging Herman Cain over the next two weeks, Romney edged out each candidate with 210 reports mentioning Romney, Cain at 202, and Perry at 194 from October 2-8, and 259 reports for Romney, 254 for Cain, and 239 for Perry from October 9-15.
With his high poll numbers (and subsequent sexual harassment scandal), Cain was the most mentioned candidate in the GOP field for four of the next five weeks: October 16-22, October 30-November 5, November 6-12, and November 13-19.
Perry enjoyed a brief resurgence to the top during the week of October 23-29 when he unveiled his economic and tax plans.
Both Perry (125) and Cain (131) dropped behind Newt Gingrich (170) during the last full week of the month, November 20-26, with Romney (184) on top for just the fourth time since late June.
A book tour has boosted Bachmann's numbers a bit, but the congresswoman remains in the fifth slot over each of the last two weeks.
But the candidate who the media has neglected the most relative to his standing in the polls is Ron Paul.
Congressman Paul has outpolled Michele Bachmann in 38 of the 61 national polls conducted during this five-month window, but Bachmann has been mentioned in twice as many reports (2,529 to 1,250) including every week under analysis.
Paul has also outpolled Gingrich 31 to 26 with four ties in these 61 surveys, with the former House Speaker receiving nine percent more coverage during these 22 weeks.
Paul has even polled ahead of Rick Perry five times and tied him in three other surveys.
Since late June Paul has never received more than the fourth most coverage in a single week among the 2012 White House hopefuls, falling to 5th four times, to 6th six times, to 7th three times, to 8th once, and to 9th once.
Una escena retrospectiva
6 de mayo, 1987: el Senador Gary Hart, gran favorito para la nominación demócrata de 1988 y para la elección general, se vio obligado a convocar una rueda de prensa después de un acto de campaña en New Hampshire para responder a un reportaje de The Miami Herald que le acusaba de pasar los fines de semana con una joven de 29 años en su casa de Washington DC mientras su mujer estaba en Colorado.
En el dramático encuentro con periodistas, el candidato afirmó ser "víctima de un montaje" para hundirle y calificó de tramposas y falsas las informaciones. "¿He cometido un error poniéndome en circunstancias que podían dar motivo a malas interpretaciones? ¿He hecho algo amoral? En absoluto."
"¿Ha cometido alguna vez adulterio?", le preguntó el reportero Paul Taylor de The Washington Post. "No creo que esa sea una pregunta justa", respondió Hart, y siguió, "no voy a entrar en un debate sobre la definición teológica de lo que constituye adulterio..."
La presión sobre el candidato se volvió inaguantable en pocas horas. The Miami Herald respondió con una editorial que llamaba "mentiroso" a Hart poniendo en evidencia las contradicciones de su versión, se revelaron detalles sobre un reciente crucero de Hart con esta chica en las Bahamas, y salieron nuevas informaciones que señalaban que las aventuras del Senador fuera del matrimonio se remontaban a 15 años atrás.
Hart tomó la decisión de tirar la toalla unos días después, cuando The Washington Post le presentó en privado pruebas de más relaciones que iban a salir si seguía en la campaña.
Canceló todos sus actos en New Hampshire y voló a Denver, Colorado, para anunciar, desafiante, que se retiraba de la carrera presidencial. Criticó a los periodistas por dedicarse a diseccionarlo y culpó al sistema político de reducir el papel de la prensa al de cazador y a los candidatos a simples presas.
"He cometido errores, quizá grandes, pero no malos, porque soy humano."
En el dramático encuentro con periodistas, el candidato afirmó ser "víctima de un montaje" para hundirle y calificó de tramposas y falsas las informaciones. "¿He cometido un error poniéndome en circunstancias que podían dar motivo a malas interpretaciones? ¿He hecho algo amoral? En absoluto."
"¿Ha cometido alguna vez adulterio?", le preguntó el reportero Paul Taylor de The Washington Post. "No creo que esa sea una pregunta justa", respondió Hart, y siguió, "no voy a entrar en un debate sobre la definición teológica de lo que constituye adulterio..."
La presión sobre el candidato se volvió inaguantable en pocas horas. The Miami Herald respondió con una editorial que llamaba "mentiroso" a Hart poniendo en evidencia las contradicciones de su versión, se revelaron detalles sobre un reciente crucero de Hart con esta chica en las Bahamas, y salieron nuevas informaciones que señalaban que las aventuras del Senador fuera del matrimonio se remontaban a 15 años atrás.
Hart tomó la decisión de tirar la toalla unos días después, cuando The Washington Post le presentó en privado pruebas de más relaciones que iban a salir si seguía en la campaña.
Canceló todos sus actos en New Hampshire y voló a Denver, Colorado, para anunciar, desafiante, que se retiraba de la carrera presidencial. Criticó a los periodistas por dedicarse a diseccionarlo y culpó al sistema político de reducir el papel de la prensa al de cazador y a los candidatos a simples presas.
"He cometido errores, quizá grandes, pero no malos, porque soy humano."
Cain volvió a negar su relación con Ginger White
The Daily Caller:
Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain told supporters at a fundraising event Monday night that fresh allegations that he had an extended 13-year affair with a woman in Georgia are untrue.
Washington, D.C. attorney Mary Brett, who attended the event, told The Daily Caller that Cain swore to supporters that if he had a Bible, he’d put his hand on it and vow that the allegations are false.
(...) In a statement released by the Cain campaign, spokesman J.D. Gordon said, “Detractors are trying once again to derail the Cain Train with more accusations of past events that never happened. The Cain campaign is not surprised that another female accuser has come forward due to the fact that earlier allegations were unable to force Herman Cain to drop his presidential bid to renew America.”
But a separate statement from Cain’s attorney, Lin Wood, to WAGA-TV raised eyebrows as it did not deny the affair and rather said, “this appears to be an accusation of private, alleged consensual conduct between adults — a subject matter which is not a proper subject of inquiry by the media or the public.”
“No individual, whether a private citizen, a candidate for public office or a public official, should be questioned about his or her private sexual life,” Wood said. “The public’s right to know and the media’s right to report has boundaries and most certainly those boundaries end outside of one’s bedroom door.”
On Monday night, several reporters waited for Cain to depart the hotel after the fundraiser. While his Secret Service detail and staff members were seen walking in and out of the hotel, The Daily Caller did not see Cain leave.
Huntsman en Merrimack, New Hampshire
Durante un town hall meeting, habló de la deuda y la pérdida de confianza de los americanos en las instituciones de poder.
Gingrich en Charleston, Carolina del Sur
lunes, 28 de noviembre de 2011
Ginger White, supuesta amante de Herman Cain
Se llama Ginger White, es empresaria en Atlanta, y afirma haber mantenido una aventura amorosa de 13 años con Herman Cain.
"No era algo complicado. Yo sabía que él estaba casado. Y también sabía que estaba metida en una relación muy inapropiada."
Al parecer, esta mujer ha facilitado a una filial de la Fox de Atlanta registros telefónicos que muestran 61 llamadas y mensajes de texto de un número que dice que es del móvil personal del candidato.
"No era algo complicado. Yo sabía que él estaba casado. Y también sabía que estaba metida en una relación muy inapropiada."
Al parecer, esta mujer ha facilitado a una filial de la Fox de Atlanta registros telefónicos que muestran 61 llamadas y mensajes de texto de un número que dice que es del móvil personal del candidato.
Georgia Woman Claims 13-Year Affair with Herman Cain: MyFoxATLANTA.com
El hombre que salvó a Reagan
El agente retirado del Servicio Secreto, Jerry Parr, ha visitado el museo Henry Ford con la CNN para hacer una reconstrucción de cómo salvó la vida del Presidente Reagan en 1981.
"Ya estamos otra vez"
Es la respuesta de Cain a una información que saldrá en un canal de tv de Atlanta, según la cual, el candidato ha mantenido una relación amorosa de 13 años con una mujer local.
Herman Cain sigue a su bola
Chuck Todd (NBC) en twitter:
Just 36 days until the Iowa caucuses and where's @thehermancain on 11/30: doing a bus tour of Ohio; that state's primary is in June.
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