First Read:
Mitt Romney today returns to Iowa -- for the first time since August -- making stops in Sioux City, Treynor, and Council Bluffs. And his visit once again raises this question: Given the current polls (which show him leading in Iowa) and given Rick Perry’s reversal of fortune, does he make a stronger play for the Hawkeye State?
The reward: If he heavily competes and wins, he could wrap up the nomination VERY early, a la John Kerry in ’04. “He could come out here and campaign aggressively and win in Iowa, beat all expectations, and frankly I think put it all away in the first state," Doug Gross, Romney’s 2008 Iowa state chair (who is unaffiliated this cycle) told NBC’s Alex Moe.
The risk: If he makes a strong play but loses, it could devastate his campaign and give Perry (or someone else) a real boost, leaving Romney in a situation similar to Hillary in ’08.
So right now, Romney is trying to have it both ways, occasionally dipping his toes in the Iowa waters (like today) but only employing four full-time staffers there. But with 75 days until the caucuses, Romney will soon have to make a choice.
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