NBC/Marist: Cain lidera en SC; empate Cain-Romney en FL

Encuesta de Marist Poll para NBC News:

In South Carolina, Cain gets the support of 30 percent of likely GOP primary voters — determined by past participation, interest and chance of vote — and Romney gets 26 percent. They’re followed by Texas Gov. Rick Perry at 9 percent, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 6 percent and Reps. Michele Bachmann and Ron Paul at 5 percent each; 15 percent of likely primary voters are undecided.

(...) In Florida, Cain is at 32 percent among likely voters, Romney at 31 percent, Perry at 8 percent and Paul and Gingrich are at 6 percent; 11 percent say they are undecided.

(...) What is particularly striking is the difference in support between Cain and Romney in both states. Cain performs better among Tea Party backers, very conservative voters, evangelical Christians and Republicans who have viewed the past GOP debates.

Romney, by contrast, over-performs among Republicans who don’t identify with the Tea Party, as well as those who consider themselves liberals and moderates.

“This is a very, very divided electorate,” said Barbara Carvalho, director of the Marist Poll.

And there’s also a divide in the level of support. In South Carolina, 45 percent of Cain’s supporters in South Carolina strongly back him, versus 37 percent of Romney’s. In Florida, 52 percent of Cain’s supporters strongly back him, versus 41 percent of Romney’s.