ECRI pronostica recaída recesiva

El ECRI, la única organización que anticipó correctamente las últimas tres recesiones (1991, 2000 y 2007), dice que una nueva recesión es inevitable.

CNN Money:

The U.S. economy is staring down another recession, according to a forecast from the Economic Cycle Research Institute.

"It's either just begun, or it's right in front of us," said Lakshman Achuthan, the managing director of ECRI. "But at this point that's a detail. The critical news is there's no turning back. We are going to have a new recession."

The ECRI produces widely-followed leading indicators which predict when the economy is moving between recession and expansion. Achuthan said all those indicators are now pointing to a new economic downturn in the immediate future.