The Daily Caller:
“A path exists but it lies in the elimination of Governor Perry as a candidate,” Republican strategist Chris LaCivita told The Daily Caller. “The only way Herman Cain in my opinion can emerge as a serious contender, is to surpass Governor Perry and demonstrate that he has the endurance to match the organization of Governor Romney.”
Republican political advertising consultant Dan Hazelwood echoed LaCivita’s suggestion that Cain’s path to the nomination is dependent not only upon his own performance, but on the failure of other candidates, particularly Perry.
“Cain’s great challenge is not only does he need to perform well, but he needs selected opponents to under-perform,” he said.
Hazelwood explained that in order for Cain to win the nomination, he needs to place in the top three spots in both Iowa and New Hampshire while Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann and Perry falter, making himself the “social conservative front runner after New Hampshire.”
“From that point, depending on the calendar, he needs to come in a strong 2nd to Romney in the next state followed by a first place win in the next,” Hazelwood laid out.
“So after New Hampshire he needs to coalesce the anti-establishment forces around his campaign as the primary challenger to Romney. He can’t do well in these early states if Perry is viewed as the primary challenger to Romney.”
(...) But while nearly all of the eight political strategists who talked to TheDC about Cain said that his path to the nomination was at best rocky, many added that a Cain triumph was certainly not inconceivable.
“I think the climb is steep,” said Rick Tyler, a former press secretary to Newt Gingrich. “The fact is we’ve never had a businessman go from being a businessman to the presidency.”
“But we’ve never had $14 trillion in debt, we’ve never had sustained unemployment this long since the depression, and so the mood now is such that people are looking for an alternative to politicians,” Tyler said.
“Herman Cain does have a chance of winning the Republican nomination just like anybody else that is attracting strong conservative grassroots support throughout the nation,” said David Bossie, president of Citizens United. “I think winning Iowa for Cain is a must. If he is able to win in Iowa, I can see his simple innovative economic message resonating with New Hampshire voters as well.”
In a recent interview with TheDC, Cain’s campaign manager, Mark Block, explained Cain’s “delegate-count strategy,” which some have expressed skepticism over, especially since it includes plans to visit places like North Dakota and other states that don’t hold early primaries.
“Iowa and New Hampshire and South Carolina are very important,” Block said. “But so is Florida, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee.”
He said the Cain campaign has “strategies in place to continue that momentum,” including “rolling out more bold policy initiatives.”
“Some of the things you’re going to see in October are going to be as bold as 9-9-9,” Block said, referencing Cain’s catchy slogan for his tax reform proposal.
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