The problem for Rick Perry is that his campaign is now based on luck. If Newt Gingrich implodes, Rick Perry may get another look.
That’s not a winning strategy. That’s wishing on a star. But it still may happen.
Ultimately — and I am friends with a number of these guys but I won’t mince any words here — I believe Rick Perry will get a second look by primary voters and I believe the Perry campaign will not be ready for that second look.
Here’s the problem for Team Perry — they are not hungry. If Rick Perry loses tomorrow, all of his top people go back to the Governor’s Mansion in Texas and govern Texas. They all view that as equally awesome to the White House, so they are not hungry for a win. They have nothing to lose so they don’t mind losing. And I think that goes for the candidate too.
Reporters routinely tell me that Perry has perhaps the nicest of campaign staffs, but they also tell me that the Perry campaign is full of hubris and really does convey the attitude that it doesn’t matter because they’ll still have jobs the day after Perry drops out.
It is a psychological problem for Team Perry and I don’t know that they get it. They are about to get a second look from a lot of voters in Iowa and elsewhere who are about to be scared to death over Newt Gingrich’s social conservative record or lack thereof. And if the Perry campaign is yet again found wanting, and I sadly think it will be, we may just see the rise of Jon Huntsman.
Again though, right now, the second look depends on luck and it should not. The Perry camp is resting on a belief Newt will implode. They should be making their own luck as best they can. There are rumors of a staff shake up and a concentration in Iowa. They better do something. They’ve got a good staff in Iowa and a good ground game. They have the money, but they are running out of time.
Governor Perry, get ready for your second close up. You are just about to lose so make it count. One thing that could help you is if evangelicals in Iowa decide to unite behind you. That’s a real possibility right now.
jueves, 1 de diciembre de 2011
¿Le falta hambre a Perry?
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2 comentarios:
Este Erickson apostó por Perry en su momento, no? Se nota que quiere darle la mejor lectura posible a lo de Perry, como cuando uno dice que su equipo ha perdido porque no le ha echado ganas en vez de reconocer que simplemente es malo.
Perry es actualmente malo, malo malísimo. Fue hablar dos palabras y espantar a todo el mundo, a la vez. No es cuestión de ganas.
Lo tuyo con Perry también merece un estudio. Te recuerda a tu tío y le tienes manía.
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