jueves, 1 de septiembre de 2011

Rasmussen desmiente la menor elegibilidad de Perry

Rasmussen:
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows Perry picking up 44% of the vote while the president earns support from 41%. Given the margin of sampling error (+/- 3 percentage points) and the fact that the election is more than a year away, the race between the two men is effectively a toss-up. Just over a week ago, the president held a three-point advantage over Perry.

Perry leads by nine among men but trails by five among women. Among voters under 30, the president leads while Perry has the edge among those over 30. The president leads Perry by 16 percentage points among union members while Perry leads among those who do not belong to a union.

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney currently trails the president by four percentage points, 43% to 39%. That’s a slight improvement for the Republican compared to a week ago. Earlier in the year, Romney held a one-point edge when matched against the president. Prior to today’s release, that was the only time a named Republican has held any kind of lead over President Obama. A Generic Republican currently leads the president 48% to 40%.

If Congresswoman Michele Bachmann is the GOP candidate, the president leads 46% to 38%. Unlike Perry and Romney, Bachmann’s numbers are a bit weaker now than they were a week ago.

Finally, if the Republicans were to nominate businessman Herman Cain, President Obama would attract 42% of the vote to Cain’s 35%.
El sondeo refleja un alto porcentaje de indecisos que cuando se les propone elegir entre Obama y Perry no se deciden. No descartan votar a Perry. Eso significa que el Gobernador de Texas es un candidato competitivo. Al igual que lo es Romney, quien puede seguir argumentando ser más apto para ganar el voto de esos indecisos a la hora de la verdad.

2 comentarios:

Anónimo dijo...

Parece que los demócratas están subestimando a Perry. Creen que si gana eliminará a Romney y solo les quedará como rival un gobernador sureño demasiado escorado a la derecha como para ser elegido.

El problema es que la elección no va a versar sobre temas sociales, sino económicos, y ahí Perry tiene bastante más que ofrecer que un Obama en caída libre.

Un saludo:
Cornelio Sila

Anónimo dijo...

A lo que dice Cornelio yo añadiría que la opción federalista de Perry en algunos de esos "temas sociales" como, p. ej., el matrimonio gay tambine le favorece un poco dentro de lo que son los independientes.

Rockford.