lunes, 11 de junio de 2012

¿Milagro presupuestario o artimaña?

The Washington Times evalúa los éxitos presupuestarios del Gobernador Romney en Massachusetts:

On the campaign trail, Mr. Romney tells voters to look at his record in Massachusetts, where he balanced the budget every year, as required by state law.
“When I came in, we faced almost a $3 billion budget gap. There were some that said, ‘Why don’t we just raise taxes, or why don’t we just borrow money?’ We actually cut spending,” Mr. Romney said in a campaign ad during the primary. “I balanced the budget every single year, and by the time I left we had established over $2 billion of a rainy-day fund.”
Along the way, he benefited from an improving economy that pumped more revenue into Massachusetts and other states - and into the federal government. During that time, when George W. Bush was president, federal deficits dropped from $412 billion in 2004 to $160 billion in 2007.
“Massachusetts was floating on the national tide. Whatever good you could discern from the numbers was the result of the national economy, whatever was bad in the numbers was largely the national economy, too,” said Fred Bayles, director of the State House Program at Boston University. “He did not come in here and heroically turn the state around. He came in and presided over state government, but any large issues that took place was the decision of the legislature - and quite frankly, there were no exceptional actions taken by the governor or the legislature during Romney’s term, with the one exception, and that is the one thing he doesn’t want to take credit for: health care.”
David G. Tuerck, executive director of the fiscally conservative Beacon Hill Institute at Suffolk University, said Mr. Romney had little to do with the uptick in state revenue, but deserves credit for maneuvering within the confines set by Democrats, who held a veto-proof majority in the legislature.
“In effect, his high points were more what he tried to do than what he got done,” Mr. Tuerck said.
(...) In January 2003, Mr. Romney faced a $650 million deficit, or about 3 percent of the state’s $22.25 billion budget.
He scored an early legislative victory by persuading lawmakers to grant him the authority to make $343 million in emergency spending cuts in aid to localities, health and human services, and higher education.
Mr. Romney also got lawmakers to support a $2 parking fee at state parks and a host of other small fee increases including for car sales and mortgage registrations. He said didn’t violate his vow not to raise taxes, including when he approved an increase in the cost of registering a gun.
In 2004, Mr. Romney again faced a deficit well in excess of $2 billion and introduced a spending blueprint that he called “the most significant restructuring of state government in half a century.”
But budget hawks and Democrats said the Romney administration vastly overstated how much cash could be saved through restructuring, reorganizing or consolidating various state agencies and departments.
Most of the Romney “savings” came from increased fees and one-time “revenue grabs” - including his brainchild of handing over state-owned land to the public employees pension fund in lieu of an annual contribution; a proposal to refinance state debt over a longer period; and his plan to demand $75 million from neighboring states in exchange for a promise that Massachusetts would not open any casinos.
Lawmakers shot down his one-time fixes and rejected his proposal to have state employees cover 25 percent of their health care premiums, up from 15 percent.
They did, however, agree to abolish the Metropolitan District Commission and transfer its functions to another department, and to consolidate Health and Human Services agencies.
“The gimmicks were not adopted,” the Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation’s Mr. Widmer said. “They did adopt his revenues, and then they had to adopt spending cuts. But they didn’t adopt the reforms, and it was unclear that the reforms would have produced the savings anyway.”
“Massachusetts has a very strong legislative system, and whenever the governor submits his budget, it is politely accepted by Democratic leadership and then they proceed to write what they want to write,” said Mr. Bayles. “They did whatever they wanted.”
Lawmakers embraced Mr. Romney’s plans to raise revenues by closing corporate-tax “loopholes” and joined him in passing universal health care.
But lawmakers opposed most of his attempts to streamline government, to slash the state income tax from 5.3 percent to 5 percent and to tweak a state law that makes it nearly impossible to privatize or outsource state services.
Near the end of the one Romney term, Stephen Slivinski of the libertarian-leaning Cato Institute gave Mr. Romney a “C” in his rankings of the nation’s governors. In his evaluation, he said the governor generally limited more spending, but that Mr. Romney’s claim that he met his no-new-taxes vow is “mostly a myth.”

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