lunes, 10 de septiembre de 2012

¿Se puede ganar la elección por 6 puntos si pierdes a los independientes por 14?

Christian Heinze (The Hill):
A new CNN poll of likely voters confirms a Barack Obama convention bounce, as he now leads Mitt Romney, 52%-46%.

But here's a very curious internal.

Romney leads among independents, 54%-40%. That's a blowout number. Both candidates get 96%-97% of their respective parties, so this means that this sample must have leaned Democratic big-time.

And of course, CNN didn't release the sampling breakdown.

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