The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll of Election 2012 shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate.En 2008, Rasmussen pronosticó Obama 52%, McCain 46% y el resultado final fue Obama 52.9%, McCain 45.7%.
Both candidates are viewed favorably by 50% of voters nationwide.
When it comes to the economy, 50% trust Romney more, while 47% have more confidence in the president.
(...) Rasmussen Reports figures include both those who have already voted and those likely to vote. Among those who have already voted, 43% are Democrats and 33% Republican. Among those expected to vote today, 39% are Republican and 37% Democrat. Overall, 39% of voters are projected to be Democrats and 37% Republicans.
One key to the outcome on Election Day will be the racial and ethnic mix of the electorate. In 2008, approximately 74% of voters were white. Among those who have already voted, 67% are white. Among those expected to vote today, 77% are white.
En 2004, Rasmussen pronosticó Bush 50.2%, Kerry 48.5% y el resultado final fue Bush 50.7%, Kerry 48.3%.
En 2008, Battleground Poll pronosticó Obama 52%, McCain 47%, y en 2004, Bush 50%, Kerry 46%.
La media de las últimas encuestas nacionales otorga a Obama una ventaja de medio punto si el electorado es D+5. Romney gana los independientes por 8 puntos.
Hace cuatro años el electorado fue D+7 y Obama ganó por 7 puntos.