Perry se escapa en Carolina del Sur

Viendo los últimos resultados de Public Policy Polling para la primaria republicana de Carolina del Sur podemos concluir que SC es para Perry lo que NH para Romney.

There might not be a state that betters symbolizes the fundamental shift that's occurred in the Republican Presidential race over the last few months than South Carolina.

When PPP last polled there in early June, Mitt Romney led everyone in the field by at least 15 points. But now with Rick Perry's entry Romney has lost almost half of his support. That leaves Perry with a 20 point lead- he's at 36% to 16% for Romney, 13% for Michele Bachmann, 9% for Herman Cain, 8% for Newt Gingrich, 5% for Ron Paul, 4% for Rick Santorum, and 2% for Jon Huntsman.

Voters on the far right side of the Republican spectrum have been dying for a candidate they can call their own and Perry is filling that void. With folks describing themselves as 'very conservative,' which is the largest segment of the GOP electorate in South Carolina, Perry's at 44% to 14% for Bachmann, with Romney mired in single digits at 9%.

La historia dice que el que gana la primaria de Carolina del Sur gana la nominación republicana (lo hicieron Reagan, Bush, Dole, Bush y McCain). Para tranquilidad de Romney hay que señalar que ésa es sólo una historia de 30 años ya que esta primaria fue establecida en 1980 como primera primaria sureña en el calendario, lo que sí nos da una idea del grado de influencia que ha adquirido el Sur en el GOP de las últimas décadas y eso ya no sé si es tan tranquilizador para Romney.