domingo, 11 de marzo de 2012

Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV: Illinois, como Ohio

Chicago Tribune:
Republican presidential front-runner Mitt Romney's campaign has long considered Illinois to be in its win column, but a new Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV poll shows the candidate has some work to do to make that a reality.

The survey found Romney slightly ahead of Rick Santorum, 35 percent to 31 percent — within the poll's 4-percentage-point margin of error. Trailing far behind were Newt Gingrich with 12 percent and Texas Rep. Ron Paul with 7 percent. Another 16 percent were undecided.

There's room for movement ahead of Illinois' March 20 primary, however. Fully 46 percent of voters said they could still change their minds before the election.

(...) Illinois was expected to be a firewall for Romney after Tuesday primaries in Alabama and Mississippi, a pair of southern states where he's lowered expectations. There are typically more moderate GOP voters in Chicago's suburbs, and Romney's campaign has some operational depth here.

And the poll showed Romney is doing well in the suburbs. In Cook County, he leads Santorum 39 percent to 30 percent. In the more heavily Republican collar counties, Romney held a 39 percent to 27 percent edge.

But Santorum holds a 35 percent to 29 percent advantage in the 96 counties outside the Chicago area, where Republican voters tend to be more conservative. The Illinois poll results mirror the suburban-rural dynamic that played out in Ohio on Super Tuesday, where Romney gained a close but needed victory last week.

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