7 estados clave

Karl Rove dice que Oregon le desconcierta:

Oregon, which mystifies me. Oregon, as you may recall, was a battleground in 2000 and this time around there is a little bit of evidence that Obama has some difficulty there.

I think part of it is that you do have this sort of weird element …centered around Portland that looks at Obama as a dangerous reactionary. But you also have something going out there, sort of this libertarian, Western, iconoclastic I’m-not-going-to-be-put-in-a-box. But something’s going on in Oregon. They’ve got a 30-30 statehouse. And Republicans came within 15,000 votes of wining the governorship and yet its the most unchurched state in the union. So it’s a weird conglomeration. Oregon might be next.

No es nuevo su interés por Oregon. Envió a Bush a hacer campaña en Portland el 31 de octubre de 2000, a pocos días de las elecciones.

Pero no esperéis que Boston pierda el tiempo en Oregon. Mark Halperin (Time) ha dicho esta mañana en Morning Joe (MSNBC) que los asesores de Romney son reacios incluso a detenerse demasiado en Michigan y Pennsylvania:

HALPERIN: "I've been surprised in my conversations since I've got here with Romney folks. They say their electoral college calculations don't really include those two states and unless there's a big national landslide where everything goes towards Governor Romney, he's going to have to find 270 electoral votes without them."

Todo apunta a que la idea de Boston es no caer en esas tentaciones y hacer una campaña hiperconcentrada en los siete estados que Associated Press identifica como los básicos: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Nevada, New Hampshire y Virginia.