lunes, 22 de octubre de 2012

POLITICO/George Washington University: Romney, en cabeza


(Foto: Reuters)

Encuesta de POLITICO/George Washington University:
A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — taken from Sunday through Thursday of last week — shows Romney ahead of Obama by two points, 49 to 47 percent. That represents a three-point swing in the GOP nominee’s direction from a week ago but is still within the margin of error. Obama led 49 percent to 48 percent the week before.

Romney has not led in the poll since the beginning of May.

Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Romney leads 50 to 48 percent.
El entusiasmo favorece a Romney.
Two weeks from Election Day, the GOP nominee also continues to maintain a potentially pivotal advantage in intensity among his supporters. Seventy-two percent of those who support Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, compared to 80 percent who back Romney. Among this group, Romney leads Obama by 7 points, 52 to 45 percent.

La intensidad entre quienes desaprueban la gestión de Obama es mayor que entre quienes la aprueban.
Obama’s overall job approval stands at 49 percent, with 48 percent disapproving. The president’s personal favorability is 52 percent, with 45 percent viewing him unfavorably. Just one-third strongly approve of the job Obama’s doing, compared to 44 percent who strongly disapprove.
 
Sigue la brecha de género aunque Romney ha mejorado sus números entre las mujeres, mientras que Obama no consigue mejorar entre los hombres.
Women propelled Romney’s move into first place in the poll — a majority of which was conducted before the Hofstra debate. Obama’s 11-point advantage a week ago among the crucially important group dwindled to 6 points. The Democratic incumbent still leads 51 to 45 percent with women, but Romney leads by 10 points among men.
Romney gana en economía y Obama en política exterior.
Romney also doubled the size of his advantage over Obama on which candidate would better handle the economy. This week, 51 percent of respondents picked Romney and 45 percent chose Obama, compared to 50 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama a week ago. The former Massachusetts governor also leads by 4 points, 50 to 46 percent, on who will create more jobs.

A majority, 53 percent, disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy, compared to 45 percent who approve. That 8-point spread was only 3 points a week ago.

(...) The president, meanwhile, improved his standing on foreign policy — the focus of Monday’s third and final presidential debate in Boca Raton, Fla. Obama, widely perceived to have the upper hand in the back-and-forth over Libya at Tuesday’s debate in New York, now leads Romney by nine points on who will better handle foreign policy, 51 to 42 percent. The week before, Obama only led by 4 points, 49 percent to 45 percent.
 
(...) Obama has consistently been seen as the stronger leader. In September, Obama led Romney by seven points on that question. But Romney now leads the president by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent.
The Democrat maintains the edge on who shares your values, leading Romney by 48 to 46 percent, but it’s closer than the week before. Among women though, Obama’s lead on the question is still 11 percent.
On who stands up more for the middle class, Obama leads by 14 points, 55 percent to 41 percent.

Romney widened his lead to 15 points on which candidate would better handle the federal budget and spending, up from 12 points a week ago.

Obama is up 8 points on which candidate is better for Medicare. Among seniors, though, Romney leads by 9 points, 51 percent to 42 percent, on this question. Romney leads Obama by 18 points, 57 percent to 39 percent, among voters over 65.