The Washington Post:
Among the 29,400 voters who have cast absentee ballots in North Carolina, 54 percent are registered Republicans and 28 percent are Democrats, according to the United States Elections Project at George Mason University.En Iowa, los demócratas están en ventaja en el voto por correo pero lejos de los niveles de 2008. Los números se parecen más a los de 2004, cuando Bush se llevó el estado por un punto.
It’s a small sample — more than 2.6 million people voted before Election Day in North Carolina in 2008. And these are all mail ballots, which have historically favored Republicans; in-person voting starts Oct. 18 in North Carolina. Nevertheless, Republicans are encouraged because McCain lost the state’s early vote by 11 percentage points.
“North Carolina was a place that they totally caught us flat-footed in 2008,” Beeson said. “They jumped out to a lead and never looked back. You don’t see that happening this time — Republicans have the lead.”
Florida’s sample is even smaller — only 14,500 votes so far — but it too favors Republicans over Democrats, 53 percent to 32 percent. In 2008, nearly 4.6 million voters in Florida cast ballots before Election Day.
IOWA: Good news. GOP ballots are running about net 3% above where we were at this point in 2004 (53%D v 25%R then...to...52%D v 27%R now).— Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) octubre 8, 2012
Iowa: Dem margin over GOP continues to shrink. Romney still trending above Bush 2004 at similar points (Bush won 2004). sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/…
— Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) octubre 9, 2012