lunes, 9 de enero de 2012

Psicología y matemática

The Daily Caller:
Let’s suppose, having just won Iowa, Mitt Romney goes on to win New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries (this is not an impossible scenario).

Romney would have, at that point, won just 37 of the 1,144 delegates needed to clinch the GOP nomination.

Psychologically, he would be perceived as unstoppable. But mathematically, not so much.

In fairness to all the talking heads who would coronate Romney after gaining a miniscule number of delegates, he would have gained tremendous momentum. What is more, there is little evidence to suggest anyone else could wrest the nomination from him. (Is anyone else showing signs they could gain steam? … Any signs conservatives are about to actually coalesce around an alternative??)

But here’s my point: Even assuming Romney starts running the table, there would still be a lot of delegates to be had. And there is a reason we actually have elections.

So how might this play out?

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